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Preview and Projections for the Weekend
of April 1, 2005
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to the Weekend
Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend’s new movies. Tune in every
Tuesday for the latest look at the upcoming weekend, and then check
back
on Friday for any last minute updates and reviews.
It’s hard to believe, but this weekend marks the
start of my third year at ComingSoon.net, so I just want to take this
time to thank the greatest editor and boss in the world for allowing
me to take up so much of his site’s space every week. Of course, he’s
off in Europe right now, so we’re all learning quickly all that he
does on this site every day. It ain’t no April Fool’s that maybe April
1st should be commemorated as “Editor Appreciation Day”!
Even though he might not even see this, I just want to thank him and
all of the faithful CS readers who have made me welcome here and read
this column every week for the last two years.
WEEKEND PROJECTIONS - final update 3.31.05
For the second year in a row, April kicks off with a movie based
on a comic book, this time being Frank Miller’s Sin City, a
star-studded mostly black-and-white crime film, co-directed by Miller
and Robert Rodriguez
(Once Upon a Time in Mexico) with a scene guest-directed by Quentin
Tarantino. With more anticipation among males and comic fans then any other
movie since February’s Constantine, the movie should defy the odds
of its genre and R-rating to open in first place. But first, on Wednesday,
there’s Queen Latifah’s latest comedy Beauty Shop, a spin-off from
the successful Ice Cube and Cedric the Entertainer Barbershop comedies.
Opening into a market full of comedies for women and the urban audience,
it may have trouble getting past last week’s #1 comedy, Guess Who.
(Update: Less than 12 hours after stating this, MGM got the comedy into at least 300 more theatres for the weekend, which gives it a stronger
chance to pull second place.) After a successful limited run, Mike Binder’s The
Upside of Anger starring
Kevin Costner and Joan Allen opens nationwide in just over a thousand theatres;
the good reviews and positive word-of-mouth should help it finally move
into the Top 10.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
$27.5 |
N/A |
3,230 |
$8,514 |
1 |
|
|
2 |
New |
$13.5* |
N/A |
2,659* |
$5,077 |
1 |
|
|
3 |
1 |
Guess Who |
$12.8 |
-38% |
3,147 |
$4,067 |
2 |
|
4 |
3 |
Miss Congeniality 2 |
$8.5 |
-40% |
3,183 |
$2,670 |
2 |
|
5 |
4 |
Robots |
$8.0 |
-39% |
3,026 |
$2,644 |
4 |
|
6 |
2 |
The Ring 2 |
$6.5 |
-52% |
3,179 |
$2,045 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
The Pacifier |
$5.4 |
-34% |
2,851 |
$1,862 |
5 |
|
8 |
11 |
$5.1 |
173% |
1,111 |
$4,590 |
4 |
|
|
9 |
6 |
Hitch |
$2.7 |
-37% |
1,859 |
$1,425 |
8 |
|
10 |
7 |
Hostage |
$2.4 |
-43% |
1,728 |
$1,360 |
4 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
*Having made $2 million on Wednesday, Beauty Shop is looking like it will fall close to my $13.5 million prediction or slightly higher.
BEAUTY SHOP (MGM Pictures)|
Related Comparisons |
||||||
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Taxi |
10/8/04 |
3,001 |
$0.62 |
$12.03 |
$4,009 |
$36.61 |
|
The Cookout |
9/3/04 |
1,303 |
$6.22 |
$4,773 |
$11.54 |
|
|
Bringing Down the House |
3/7/03 |
2,801 |
$31.10 |
$11,104 |
$132.68 |
|
|
Clueless |
7/21/95 |
1,653 |
$5.27 |
$10.61 |
$6,419 |
$54.79 |
|
Barbershop 2: Back in Business |
2/6/04 |
2,711 |
$24.24 |
$8,942 |
$64.96 |
|
|
Barbershop |
9/13/02 |
1,605 |
$20.63 |
$12,852 |
$75.07 |
|
|
Diary of a Mad Black Woman |
2/25/05 |
1,483 |
$21.91 |
$14,771 |
$48.26 |
|
|
Hair Show |
10/15/04 |
38 |
$0.20 |
$5,304 |
$0.30 |
|
SIN CITY (Dimension
Films)|
Rodriguez and Tarantino |
||||||
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
|
Once Upon a Time in Mexico |
9/12/03 |
3,282 |
$23.42 |
$7,137 |
$55.85 |
|
|
From Dusk Til Dawn |
1/19/96 |
2,004 |
$10.24 |
$5,110 |
$25.07 |
|
|
Desperado |
8/25/95 |
2,027 |
$7.91 |
$3,902 |
$25.53 |
|
|
Kill Bill Vol. 2 |
4/16/04 |
2,971 |
$25.10 |
$8,450 |
$66.21 |
|
|
Kill Bill Vol. 1 |
10/10/03 |
3,102 |
$22.09 |
$7,121 |
$69.82 |
|
|
Pulp Fiction |
10/14/94 |
1,338 |
$9.31 |
$6,958 |
$107.93 |
|
|
The Cast! |
||||||
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hostage |
3/11/05 |
2,123 |
$10.21 |
$4,811 |
$23.18 |
|
|
Tears of the Sun |
3/7/03 |
2,973 |
$17.06 |
$5,737 |
$43.63 |
|
|
Closer |
12/3/04 |
476 |
$7.71 |
$16,193 |
$33.99 |
|
|
King Arthur |
7/9/04 |
3,086 |
$8.43 |
$15.19 |
$4,924 |
$51.80 |
|
Honey |
12/5/03 |
1,942 |
$12.86 |
$6,620 |
$30.00 |
|
|
The Rundown |
9/26/03 |
3,152 |
$18.53 |
$5,880 |
$47.59 |
|
|
21 Grams |
11/21/03 |
291 |
$3.31 |
$1.22 |
$4,206 |
$16.43 |
|
The Hunted |
3/14/03 |
2,516 |
$13.48 |
$5,359 |
$34.23 |
|
|
8 Mile |
11/8/02 |
2,470 |
$51.24 |
$20,745 |
$116.13 |
|
|
Related Comparisons |
||||||
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Constantine |
2/18/05 |
3,006 |
$29.77 |
$9,903 |
$71.18 |
|
|
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow |
9/17/04 |
3,170 |
$15.58 |
$4,915 |
$37.76 |
|
|
Hellboy |
3/26/04 |
3,028 |
$23.17 |
$7,653 |
$59.04 |
|
|
Road to Perdition |
7/12/02 |
1,797 |
$22.08 |
$12,267 |
$104.05 |
|
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
$40.31 |
$11,613 |
$102.54 |
|
|
From Hell |
10/19/01 |
2,305 |
$11.32 |
$4,911 |
$31.60 |
|
THE UPSIDE OF ANGER (New
Line Cinema)|
Related Comparisons |
||||||
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Bourne Supremacy |
7/23/04 |
3,165 |
$52.52 |
$16,595 |
$170.45 |
|
|
The Contender |
10/13/00 |
1,516 |
$5.36 |
$3,536 |
$17.80 |
|
|
Open Range |
8/15/03 |
2,075 |
$14.05 |
$6,771 |
$58.33 |
|
|
Dragonfly |
2/22/02 |
2,507 |
$10.22 |
$4,077 |
$30.06 |
|
|
Thirteen Days |
1/12/01 |
2,029 |
$0.64 |
$9.78 |
$4,820 |
$34.57 |
|
For Love of the Game |
9/17/99 |
2,825 |
$13.04 |
$4,616 |
$35.17 |
|
|
Message In A Bottle |
2/12/99 |
2,538 |
$16.71 |
$6,584 |
$52.80 |
|
|
The Bodyguard |
11/27/92 |
1,717 |
$16.61 |
$9,674 |
$121.95 |
|
|
Field of Dreams |
5/5/89 |
633 |
$2.94 |
$5.42 |
$8,562 |
$62.20 |
|
Bull Durham |
6/17/88 |
1,238 |
$5.00 |
$4,046 |
$50.88 |
|
|
Blankman |
8/19/94 |
1,615 |
$3.72 |
$2,303 |
$7.39 |
|
| Mini-Review: Racing fans should enjoy director Dana Brown's amazing footage of the race, but to others, this coverage of the annual festival might be a bit of a snore, as it features a lot of racers trying to get us excited about this rather reckless and irresponsible sport. Rating: 7 out of 10 |
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