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Preview and Projections for the Weekend
of April 2nd, 2004
By Edward Douglas -
Greetings and welcome back to the
Weekend Warrior, your weekly guide to the weekend’s new movies.
Tune in every Tuesday for the latest look at the upcoming weekend,
and then check back on Friday for any last minute updates.
This week, the Weekend Warrior
celebrates a year at ComingSoon.net, so I would like to personally
thank everyone at the site—Jon, Scott and Chuck—as well as all
of my new readers that have made me feel welcome here. Most of
all, I have to thank Mirko, who took a big chance bringing me on
board with my wacky long-winded column last year. I still don’t
think he really knew what he was getting in for, but one couldn’t
ask for a friendlier and funnier boss. He has made the transition
to the “big time” so smooth and painless that I can’t imagine ever
wanting to write for another site, and I look forward to this relationship
lasting for many years.
WEEKEND PROJECTIONS - final update 4.1.04
April’s first challenge comes from the release of two action movies that both
target the coveted young male market, as Guillermo del Toro’s adaptation of
the cult comic, Hellboy, takes on wrestler The Rock in a remake of the
70’s revenge drama, Walking Tall. With stronger promotion and much more
anticipation (at least from me), Hellboy should do well enough to take
the top spot with a wide margin over Walking Tall, despite them opening
in a similar number of theatres. Disney Pictures makes one last play for the
animation market with the family film, Home on the Range, which will
try to steal some of the kids away from Scooby-Doo 2, as will the Julia
Stiles romantic drama, The Prince & Me, although neither movie seems
strong enough to make much of a mark at the box office. Either way, April should
continue March’s strong push to get people into theatres over the weekend,
allowing the Top 10 to gross over $100 million for the sixth week in a row.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
$28.0 |
N/A |
3,028 |
$9,247 |
1 |
|
|
2 |
1 |
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed |
$17.5 |
-40% |
3,312 |
$5,284 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
$14.2 |
N/A |
2,836 |
$5,007 |
1 |
|
|
4 |
New |
$11.5 |
N/A |
3,047 |
$3,774 |
1 |
|
|
5 |
3 |
The Passion of the Christ |
$8.0 |
-35% |
3,408 |
$2,347 |
6 |
|
6 |
3 |
The Ladykillers |
$8.0 |
-37% |
1,587 |
$5,041 |
2 |
|
7 |
New |
$7.0 |
N/A |
2,682 |
$2,610 |
1 |
|
|
8 |
5 |
Jersey Girl |
$6.5 |
-22% |
1,821 |
$3,569 |
2 |
|
9 |
4 |
Dawn of the Dead |
$5.0 |
-53% |
2,355 |
$2,123 |
3 |
|
10 |
6 |
Taking Lives |
$3.5 |
-47% |
2,010 |
$1,741 |
3 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
HELLBOY (Columbia
Pictures)|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Blade II |
3/22/02 |
2,707 |
$32.53 |
$12,017 |
$81.65 |
|
|
Blade |
8/21/98 |
2,322 |
$17.07 |
$7,351 |
$70.10 |
|
|
Spawn |
8/1/97 |
2,536 |
$21.21 |
$8,364 |
$54.97 |
|
|
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen |
7/11/03 |
3,002 |
$23.08 |
$7,687 |
$66.46 |
|
|
Daredevil |
2/14/03 |
3,471 |
$40.31 |
$11,613 |
$102.54 |
|
|
The X-Men |
7/14/00 |
3,025 |
$54.47 |
$18,007 |
$157.30 |
|
|
Underworld |
9/19/03 |
2,915 |
$21.75 |
$7,462 |
$51.48 |
|
|
Barb Wire |
5/3/96 |
1,312 |
$1.84 |
$1,402 |
$3.78 |
|
|
The Mask |
7/29/94 |
2,360 |
$1.87 |
$23.12 |
$9,797 |
$119.92 |
|
The Matrix |
4/2/99 |
2,849 |
$9.57 |
$27.78 |
$9,751 |
$171.38 |
|
The X Files: Fight the Future |
6/19/98 |
2,629 |
$30.14 |
$11,464 |
$83.89 |
HOME ON THE RANGE (Walt
Disney Pictures)|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Road to El Dorado |
3/31/00 |
3,218 |
$12.85 |
$3,993 |
$50.80 |
|
|
Disney's Teacher's Pet |
1/16/04 |
2,027 |
$2.46 |
$1,414 |
$6.48 |
|
|
Brother Bear |
11/1/03 |
3,030 |
$0.40 |
$19.40 |
$6,404 |
$84.45 |
|
Sinbad: Legend of the Seven Seas |
7/4/03 |
3,086 |
$3.18 |
$6.87 |
$2,227 |
$26.29 |
|
Treasure Planet |
11/29/02 |
3,227 |
$4.52 |
$12.08 |
$3,744 |
$37.49 |
|
The Jungle Book 2 |
2/14/03 |
2,808 |
$11.44 |
$4,075 |
$47.88 |
|
|
The Emperor's New Groove |
12/15/00 |
2,801 |
$9.81 |
$3,502 |
$88.76 |
|
|
The Wild Thornberrys |
12/20/02 |
3,012 |
$6.10 |
$2,025 |
$38.42 |
|
|
Rugrats Go Wild! |
6/13/03 |
3,041 |
$11.56 |
$3,800 |
$39.40 |
|
|
Rugrats in Paris |
11/17/00 |
2,934 |
$22.72 |
$7,744 |
$76.46 |
|
|
Chicken Run |
6/23/00 |
2,491 |
$0.10 |
$17.11 |
$6,869 |
$106.79 |
THE PRINCE & ME (Paramount
Pictures)|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mona Lisa Smile |
12/19/03 |
2,677 |
$11.53 |
$4,306 |
$62.96 |
|
A Guy Thing |
1/17/03 |
2,515 |
$8.01 |
$3,183 |
$15.54 |
|
O |
8/31/01 |
1,434 |
$6.90 |
$4,812 |
$16.02 |
|
Save the Last Dance |
1/12/01 |
2,230 |
$23.44 |
$10,511 |
$90.17 |
|
She's All That |
1/29/99 |
2,222 |
$16.07 |
$7,232 |
$63.32 |
|
Win a Date with Tad Hamilton |
1/23/04 |
2,711 |
$7.32 |
$2,700 |
$16.97 |
|
Chasing Liberty |
1/9/04 |
2,400 |
$6.08 |
$2,533 |
$12.20 |
|
How to Deal |
7/18/03 |
2,319 |
$5.81 |
$2,505 |
$14.11 |
|
What a Girl Wants |
4/4/03 |
2,964 |
$11.43 |
$3,858 |
$35.99 |
|
The Princess Diaries |
8/3/01 |
2,537 |
$22.86 |
$9,011 |
$108.24 |
|
Pretty Woman |
3/23/90 |
1,325 |
$11.28 |
$8,513 |
$178.41 |
WALKING TALL (MGM
Studios)|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Rundown |
9/26/03 |
3,152 |
$18.53 |
$5,880 |
$47.59 |
|
|
The Scorpion King |
4/19/02 |
3,444 |
$36.08 |
$10,475 |
$90.34 |
|
|
The Mummy Returns |
5/4/01 |
3,401 |
$68.14 |
$20,035 |
$202.01 |
|
|
Jackass: The Movie |
10/25/02 |
2,509 |
$22.76 |
$9,072 |
$64.27 |
|
|
Men in Black II |
7/5/02 |
3,557 |
$35.09 |
$52.15 |
$14,661 |
$192.40 |
|
Big Trouble |
4/5/02 |
1,961 |
$3.55 |
$1,808 |
$7.26 |
|
|
A Man Apart |
4/4/03 |
2,459 |
$11.02 |
$4,481 |
$26.50 |
|
|
Payback |
2/5/99 |
2,720 |
$21.22 |
$7,801 |
$81.52 |
|
|
Falling Down |
2/26/93 |
1,220 |
$8.72 |
$7,148 |
$40.90 |
|
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