Anyone who has been reading these semi-regular columns about this year's Oscar race has probably already noticed the last-minute sea change of opinions where early winners like Zero Dark Thirty
(Sony) and heavily-predicted winners like Steven Spielberg's Lincoln
(DreamWorks) have suddenly fallen away to allow Ben Affleck's Argo
(Warner Bros) to rise to the top.
While the Writers Guild (WGA) is still a couple weeks away from announcing their awards, Argo
has already swept all the previously announced guild awards from the producers (PGA), actors (SAG) and last night's Directors Guild (DGA) win
. When you add those to the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Award wins for Argo
, it's looking pretty good that support for the movie following Ben Affleck's directing Oscar snub is pervasive enough to continue right through Oscar night.
By now, we already know Affleck's snub was probably an oversight and that Argo
has enough support to win Best Picture but someone's still going to have to win Best Director and that's now an open field with five contenders who haven't won a single award up until this point.