It seems like the Oscars take forever to arrive, but when they do it’s almost as if you aren’t prepared. I offered up my first Best Picture predictions almost a year ago exactly, and by the looks of it predicting that early doesn’t result in very accurate results as I only had three of the eventual nominees on the list and two films didn’t even end up released in 2013.
Oh well, it’s all part of the fun. We watch, we scrutinize, we judge, and sooner or later it all becomes quite clear which films and performances will be rising to the top in each category. We discuss the last two nomination slots and we bicker over the #1 line, not because we necessarily feel one film or performance is better than another in its respective category, but because we want to get it RIGHT! That said, I will now attempt to do just that as I offer up my final 2014 Oscar predictions.
Will it be 12 Years a Slave, Gravity or American Hustle taking Best Picture? Can anyone knock Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) off the #1 slot for Best Actor. Will it be Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave) or Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) winning Best Supporting Actress?
Which film will walk away with the most awards? Doesn’t winning Best Film Editing mean a film is also likely to win Best Picture? Will there be a Best Picture and Best Director split? After all, of the 85 films that have won Best Picture, 62 also won Best Director. So many questions… I’ll do my best to offer up my answers, but at the same time you will be voting on each category as well. Let’s get started and see how things shape out…
MY PICK: 12 Years a Slave
It seems almost anti-climactic to get one of the most debated awards out of the way this quickly because it’s not like recent years where Argo, The Artist and The King’s Speech seemed the obvious winners heading into the night. We’ve debated whether it would be 12 Years a Slave, Gravity or American Hustle for months now and I’m sticking with 12 Years, despite reports some Academy members say they won’t watch it and the rising support for Gravity.
Reason could be given for why any of the top three contenders might win, but I’ll just lay this on gut instinct and hope for the best.
MY PICK: Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
There’s a chance for an upset here, however slim it may be, but Chiwetel Ejiofor may find his name called, but he’s the only one I’d say has any possibility of edging out McConaughey and his chances have got to be somewhere between slim and none.
MY PICK: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
There are a few locks in the below-the-line categories, but this is probably the biggest lock on the board. There was some chatter about how Blanchett might not win after the Woody Allen saga heated up recently, but there was never any real doubt.
Best Supporting Actor
MY PICK: Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Leto is another strong lock as I don’t think there is any chance he loses, but what do you think?
Best Supporting Actress
MY PICK: Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
A difficult category to predict, especially since your leanings in other categories may affect it. I wonder, can you predict Gravity to win Best Picture and still think Nyong’o will win Best Supporting Actress? Does the Academy work in such a way where they can divide their allegiances so willy nilly? I think we all know they can and perhaps that’s a good thing, but I also have a hard time seeing Jennifer Lawrence winning two years in a row.
I will say this, however, of all the acting categories I’d say this is the one with the most potential for a spoiler. As Nyong’o and Lawrence battle it out I can just imagine June Squibb taking home the win.