Final, Pre-Nominations, 2012 Oscar Predictions

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Writing (Adapted Screenplay) (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Moneyball (Steve Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin)
  2. The Descendants (Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash)
  3. The Help (Tate Taylor)
  4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (Steve Zaillian)
  5. Hugo (John Logan)

Writing (Original Screenplay) (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Midnight in Paris (Woody Allen)
  2. The Artist (Michel Hazanavicius)
  3. 50/50 (Will Reiser)
  4. Win Win (Thomas McCarthy)
  5. Bridesmaids (Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo)

Animated Feature Film (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Rango (dir. Gore Verbinski)
  2. The Adventures of Tintin (dir. Steven Spielberg)
  3. Wrinkles (dir. Ignacio Ferreras)
  4. Puss in Boots (dir. Chris Miller)
  5. Arthur Christmas (dir. Sarah Smith)

NOTES: As I said above, Wrinkles is an excellent film and it is neck-and-neck with Rango now for my favorite animated film of 2011, but it is sad, sad, sad as it takes a head-on look at old age. Question is, how will the Animation branch at the Academy react to it? This wasn’t necessarily a strong year for animated films, but if they overlook Wrinkles for shoddy studio fare they have made a big mistake.

Documentary (feature) (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Project Nim (dir. James Marsh)
  2. Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory (dir. Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky)
  3. Pina (dir. Wim Wenders)
  4. Buck (dir. Cindy Meehl)
  5. Bill Cunningham New York (dir. Richard Press)

NOTES: Your guess is as good as mine. Come to think of it, what constitutes “best” documentary? The one that makes you the saddest? The most beautiful? The most effective? The one that offers the most change?

Foreign Language Film (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. A Separation (dir. Asghar Farhadi)
  2. In Darkness (dir. Agnieszka Holland)
  3. Pina (dir. Wim Wenders)
  4. Bullhead (dir. Michael R. Roskam)
  5. Monsieur Lazhar (dir. Philippe Falardeau)

NOTES: Of the foreign language films I’ve seen that are among the contenders, Bullhead is the best followed by A Separation. Just saying.

Cinematography (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. The Tree of Life (Emmanuel Lubezki)
  2. The Artist (Guillame Schiffman)
  3. Hugo (Robert Richardson)
  4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (Jeff Cronenweth)
  5. War Horse (Janusz Kaminski)

Film Editing (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. The Artist (Anne-Sophie Bion)
  2. Hugo (Thelma Schoonmaker)
  3. War Horse (Michael Kahn)
  4. Drive (Matthew Newman)
  5. The Descendants (Kevin Tent)

Music (Original Score) (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. The Artist (Ludovic Bource)
  2. War Horse (John Williams)
  3. Jane Eyre (Dario Marianelli)
  4. Hugo (Howard Shore)
  5. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (Alexandre Desplat)

Music (Original Song) (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. “Lay Your Head Down” from Albert Nobbs
  2. “The Living Proof” from The Help
  3. “Life’s A Happy Song” from The Muppets
  4. “Hello Hello” from Gnomeo and Juliet
  5. “Coeur Volant” from Hugo

Sound Mixing (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Hugo
  2. Super 8
  3. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
  4. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
  5. Hanna

Sound Editing (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Super 8
  2. Hugo
  3. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  4. War Horse
  5. The Adventures of Tintin

Art Direction (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Hugo
  2. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
  3. The Artist
  4. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Visual Effects (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  2. The Tree of Life
  3. Hugo
  4. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
  5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2

Costumes (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Hugo
  2. The Artist
  3. Jane Eyre
  4. Midnight in Paris
  5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Makeup (click here for full field and rankings)

  1. Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life
  2. The Iron Lady
  3. Hugo

Predicted Wins Per Movie

  1. The Artist – 4 Oscars
  2. Hugo – 3 Oscars
  3. The Help – 2 Oscars
  4. Albert Nobbs – 1 Oscar
  5. Beginners – 1 Oscar
  6. The Descendants – 1 Oscar
  7. Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life – 1 Oscar
  8. Midnight in Paris – 1 Oscar
  9. Moneyball – 1 Oscar
  10. Project Nim – 1 Oscar
  11. Rango – 1 Oscar
  12. Rise of the Planet of the Apes – 1 Oscar
  13. A Separation – 1 Oscar
  14. Super 8 – 1 Oscar
  15. The Tree of Life – 1 Oscar

Predicted Nominations Per Movie

  1. Hugo – 12 Oscar nominations
  2. The Artist – 10 Oscar nominations
  3. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – 7 Oscar nominations
  4. The Help – 6 Oscar nominations
  5. The Descendants – 5 Oscar nominations
  6. War Horse – 5 Oscar nominations
  7. Midnight in Paris – 4 Oscar nominations
  8. Moneyball – 4 Oscar nominations
  9. Albert Nobbs – 3 Oscar nominations
  10. Bridesmaids – 2 Oscar nominations
  11. Drive – 2 Oscar nominations
  12. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 – 2 Oscar nominations
  13. Jane Eyre – 2 Oscar nominations
  14. My Week with Marilyn – 2 Oscar nominations
  15. Pina – 2 Oscar nominations
  16. Super 8 – 2 Oscar nominations
  17. The Adventures of Tintin – 2 Oscar nominations
  18. The Iron Lady – 2 Oscar nominations
  19. The Tree of Life – 2 Oscar nominations
  20. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy – 2 Oscar nominations
  21. Transformers: Dark of the Moon – 2 Oscar nominations
  22. 50/50 – 1 Oscar nomination
  23. Arthur Christmas – 1 Oscar nomination
  24. Beginners – 1 Oscar nomination
  25. Bill Cunningham New York – 1 Oscar nomination
  26. Buck – 1 Oscar nomination
  27. Bullhead – 1 Oscar nomination
  28. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close – 1 Oscar nomination
  29. Gainsbourg: A Heroic Life – 1 Oscar nomination
  30. Gnomeo and Juliet – 1 Oscar nomination
  31. Hanna – 1 Oscar nomination
  32. In Darkness – 1 Oscar nomination
  33. J. Edgar – 1 Oscar nomination
  34. Monsieur Lazhar – 1 Oscar nomination
  35. Warrior – 1 Oscar nomination
  36. Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory – 1 Oscar nomination
  37. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides – 1 Oscar nomination
  38. Project Nim – 1 Oscar nomination
  39. Puss in Boots – 1 Oscar nomination
  40. Rango – 1 Oscar nomination
  41. Rise of the Planet of the Apes – 1 Oscar nomination
  42. The Muppets – 1 Oscar nomination
  43. We Need to Talk about Kevin – 1 Oscar nomination
  44. Win Win – 1 Oscar nomination
  45. Wrinkles – 1 Oscar nomination

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