Last weekend I made a mistake. I had Karate Kid winning the weekend on my initial predictions, and then I bowed to public opinion and slipped The A-Team slightly in front. The results were disastrous, as the weekend played out with The Karate Kid handily crushing The A-Team. The lesson? Stick with your first call … and respect the family dollar, for it rules us all.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 0 Weeks In A Row
A 40 percent drop for The Karate Kid. That’s nothing to be ashamed of, and the sequel is already at the scripting stage.
Prediction: $33.4 million
3. Jonah Hex
The other opener of the weekend, it feels like $6,500 per theater to me.
Prediction: $18.36 million
4. The A-Team
It’ll fall 44 percent this weekend. Really, this film was well positioned right up until they decided to spend $110m on it. It’s tough to make your money back like that. Of course, a lot of that is due to the film being in development hell and going through 11 screenwriters so at what point does the final product separate itself from the years it took to get it made?
Prediction: $14.41 million
Nine years ago the original made more domestically. So in North America it’s a dud. The international dollars should push it to profit though.
Prediction: $7.7 million
The same issue as A-Team. They continue to spend too much money up front.
Prediction: $5.9 million
Someone asked which was a bigger disaster, this or Robin Hood. Both will end up with around $300m in ticket sales on $200m production budgets. So, depending on the splits, they are pretty equitable disasters.
Prediction: $4.03 million
8. Killers
Killers should be all set to lose around $30 million for Lionsgate. Nice.
Prediction: $2.63 million
10. Iron Man 2
I expect a big DVD push here, because that’s where all the profit is going to be had.
Prediction: $1.94 million
How say you? Want to call $160m for Toy Story 3? Or perhaps you want to naysay a bit with a call under $100m? Feel like my Jonah Hex number is all wrong? Comment away!
