Box-Office Oracle: Apr. 9 – Apr. 11, 2010

This feels like an ambush. On one hand, Date Night is an April release with a limited romantic comedy demographic. On the other hand, Clash of the Titans hasn’t received exactly glowing word-of-mouth. It’s a real pickle. If I had a third hand I’d mention I hadn’t even heard of the tenth place film until I started writing this article. But I don’t have a third hand. So we’ll keep that last part quiet.
#1 movie predicted correctly: 5 Weeks In A Row
What will you pick instead? Date Night! This movie is another perfectly fine film, not a “must-see” but not actively offensive either. But financially speaking I can’t project it above $7845 per theater, which is $1000 better per than Bounty Hunter and Baby Mama. That’s the most I can give it. Will it be too low?
Prediction: $26.47 million
It fell 33.7 percent last week, I think it keeps trending positively with a 27.5 percent drop. Solid reviews, a family demographic, and no competition means they’ll do well this weekend.
Prediction: $21.03 million
I have three films dropping 55 percent due to front-loading. This is one of them.
Prediction: $13.18 million
And this is the other. I see nothing that makes me think this film will bounce back this weekend.
Prediction: $7.21 million
If you can figure out where they spent the nearly $40m on this project you’re doing better than me. How much do hot tubs cost, anyway?
Prediction: $4.75 million
The smartest move here was being the first 3-D film out of the gate in 2010.
Prediction: $3.66 million
Another $40m budget debacle, but at least they’ve almost hit $70m in worldwide cume.
Prediction: $3.4 million
Just keeps hanging around, like Matt Damon in Rounders.
Prediction: $2.75 million
It should bring in the church crowd, or around $2500 per screen.
Prediction: $2.24 million

That’s all I’ve got. How say you? How many of you will put your chips on Steve Carell and Tina Fey? It wouldn’t be a bad bet, I just couldn’t make the math work. Now it’s in your court, comment away!

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