My pal Gitesh at Box Office Guru was nice enough to remind me that Monday is Veteran's Day, which means no school and less of a drop for the family and kids movies on Sunday. That and an enhanced theatre count of over 3,600 for Warner Bros.' Fred Clause means that it's likely to make closer than $30 million, although it's still going to be splitting up a lot of its potential family business with DreamWorks' Bee Movie and will be relying more on the obligatory holiday film legs. The other two new movies, both opening in less than 2,300 theatres, will end up closer to the middle and bottom of the Top 10 with very specific audiences and not nearly the marketing budget for Fred Claus.
1. Fred Claus (Warner Bros.) - $28.6 million N/A (up $1.4 million)
2. American Gangster (Universal) - $23.0 million -47% (up .3 million)
3. Bee Movie (DreamWorks/Paramount) - $22.6 million -41% (up .5 million)
4. Lions for Lambs (United Artists/MGM) - $10.2 million N/A (same)
5. Dan in Real Life (Disney/Touchstone) - $5.2 million - 34% (down .1)
6. Saw IV (Lionsgate) - $5.0 million -52% (same)
7. P2 (Summit Entertainment) - $2.8 million N/A (up .1 million)
8. The Game Plan (Disney) - $2.4 million – 38% (down .1 million)
9. After Dark Horrorfest 2007 (After Dark Films) - $2.1 million N/A (same)
10. Martian Child (New Line) - $2.0 million (same)