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WW 8/24 Update and Labor Day Preview

The biggest change since Tuesday is that the Weinstein Company has managed to get The Nanny Diaries into about 800 more theatres than the earlier estimates, and there's definite interest for the movie among women over 20, either who read the book or not. The question is whether they'll rush out to see the movie this weekend or whether they'll trickle in over the next few weeks. Reviews certainly haven't been kind with just 27% on Rottentomatoes, but we'll have to see if that translates to the women who might be interest in this sort of thing.

The Lionsgate action-thriller War, starring Jason Statham and Jet Li, won't have that problem because they haven't shown their movie to anyone, though it's really just going to be appealing to guys, many of whom might just go see Superbad again. While War might do well on Friday, I wouldn't expect it to do too much business after that, allowing returning movies like Bourne Ultimatum and Rush Hour 3 to make up some ground by Sunday. Then again, it probably won't matter since Superbad will remain at the top by a fairly wide margin.

This Week's Predictions -

1. Superbad (Sony) - $19.5 million -41% (no change)

2. The Bourne Ultimatum (Universal) - $11.5 million -43% (up .1)

3. War (Lionsgate) - $11.3 million N/A (no change)

4. Rush Hour 3 (New Line) - $10.7 million -50% (down .2)

5. The Nanny Diaries (The Weinstein Co.) - $10.2 million N/A (Up $2.2 million)

6. Mr. Bean's Holiday (Universal) - $5.8 million N/A (Up $.6 million)

7. Resurrecting the Champ (Yari Film Group) - $4.4 million N/A (Up $.3 million)

8. The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox) - $3.9 million -42% (Down .1)

9. Stardust (Paramount) - $3.5 million -38% (no change)

10. Hairspray (New Line) - $3.0 million -31% (no change)

11. The Invasion (Warner Bros.) - $2.8 million -54% (no change)

- Illegal Tender (Universal) - $1.1 million N/A (up .1)

- September Dawn (Slowhand Releasing) - $.75 million N/A (no change)

(Labor Day preview after the jump.)

The four-day Labor Day weekend is a great time to catch up on movies one has missed over the summer, but fortunately, there are three potentially strong movies with Rob Zombie's remake of John Carpenter's Halloween standing the best chance at bringing audiences in. Expect it to be #1 with upwards of $20 million next weekend while the ping pong comedy Balls of Fury, from the makers of "Reno 911!", will probably be third after Superbad, and James Wan's second movie of the year, the revenge thriller Death Sentence starring Kevin Bacon will have to contend with the returning movies that will pick up a bit of extra business over the long holiday weekend.

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