An announcement: At the behest and begging of my beleaguered editor and due to the general lack of comments and apparent interest in this column since it moved to the blog, the stripped-down format used last weekend will now be somewhat of the norm with a few modifications along the way. Essentially, we'll have an extended write-up about the weekend and then you can read a bit more about the new movies in terms of directors, writers, plot, etc. below that. The limited releases and Chosen One will now be folded back into this as it was in the past. Hope everyone's okay with these changes, and feel free to comment if you're not.
Labor Day, the last official weekend of the summer movie season, has often been considered one of the best times to catch one of the summer movies you missed, but up until recently, it was considered one of the worst times to release a new movie. That's changed a bit in recent years and genre flicks have done particularly well during the last weekend before everyone's back to school, which may be why three of the studios who specialize in genre will be trying to make a mark this year. Currently, the highest opening Labor Day movie is Jason Statham's The Transporter 2, which opened with over $20.1 million in four days, but it's not the most money a movie has made over Labor Day weekend, as that honor goes to M. Night Shyamalan's The Sixth Sense, which grossed $29.2 million over the four-day holiday in 1999, making more than its opening weekend four weeks earlier. (Check out past years' Labor Day stats)
This Week's Predictions (all four-day predictions) -
1. Halloween (Dimension) - $22.4 million N/A
2. Superbad (Sony) - $13.5 million -25%
3. Balls of Fury (Rogue Pictures) - $11.8 million N/A
4. Mr. Bean's Holiday (Universal) - $10.3 Million 4%
5. The Bourne Ultimatum (Universal) - $9.7 million -20%
6. Rush Hour 3 (New Line) – $7.9 million -33%
7. Death Sentence (Fox Atomic) - $6.4 million N/A
8. War (Lionsgate) - $5.8 million -41%
9. The Nanny Diaries (The Weinstein Company) - $5.3 million -29%
10. The Simpsons Movie (20th Century Fox) - $3.3 million -25%
Rocker Rob Zombie's third movie, a remake of John Carpenter's horror classic Halloween (Dimension Films) will probably attract the biggest audience of young guys and girls, not to mention the franchise's diehard fans, who may be interested in seeing how it's resuscitated by a filmmaker respected among horror circles like Zombie. It's been five years since Halloween: Resurrection, the last movie in the franchise which didn't do nearly as well as Halloween: H20 four years earlier, but Zombie's movie, which acts as much as a prequel as a remake, will be getting the widest release of the "Halloween" franchise into just over 3,300 theatres as it tries to top the current Labor Day opening record. (See above.) The only things working against it completely slamming the current Labor Day opening record is the fact that it's a remake in a long line of them, it's trying to revive a franchise that some might have been glad to see dead, and some people might be left scratching their heads why Dimension didn't save it for October or for Halloween proper. (Halloween falls on a Wednesday this year, six full days after the release of Saw IV, and surely it would have been a first choice that would have helped it much like The Omen remake was helped on June 6, 2006.) The other last-minute stumbling block may be the fact that a workprint of the film was leaked online, much like with Eli Roth's Hostel: Part II and Michael Moore's Sicko, but that might not hurt a movie that has so much going for it already.
Opening on Wednesday is Thomas Lennon and Robert Ben Garant's sports comedy Balls of Fury (Rogue Pictures) which hopes to do for ping pong (known as table tennis in polite society) what Dodgeball did for… well, you know. It doesn't have quite as strong a cast with newcomer Dan Fogler in the lead as a ping pong champ on the comeback trail against the evil Master Feng, played by Chrstopher Walken, with George Lopez and the luscious Maggie Q (from Live Free or Die Hard and MI:III) rounding out the cast. Lennon and Garant are best known for their work on Comedy Central's "Reno 911!" and the recent movie based on it, though they'll be bringing a bit more of their mainstream non-R-rated sensibilities from movies like Night at the Museum to this one in hopes of finding a larger audience of comedy fans. While its PG-13 rating will certainly help it this weekend—especially among the younger teens looking to sneak into Halloween--opening on Wednesday could potentially take away from its weekend business, and they'll be competing against Sony's popular R-rated Superbad for second place. Even so, look for this to wind up in third place with the strongest opening for a Rogue Pictures film. (To date, they've had the best success with the Jet Li movies Unleashed and Fearless though both opened in a thousand fewer theatres than this.)
Kevin Bacon stars in the revenge thriller Death Sentence (Fox Atomic), the second movie of the year from Saw director/co-creator James Wan. Despite a solid premise and cast, this looks like it might be one of the young filmmaker's stronger films, but it doesn't look like it has anything to entice younger males away from the other two movies, making it a second choice at best. Kevin Bacon isn't exactly going to draw them into theatres, having made the switch to smaller indie films a few years back, and though it might be a solid addition to the revenge thriller genre, older folks might be looking forward more to Jodie Foster's turn in The Brave One, which opens in a few weeks, leaving this to find more of an audience on DVD. (Incidentally, trivia buffs might be interested in knowing that this and Balls of Fury have two things in common… anyone want to guess what they are?)
Universal would be nuts not to expand Rowan Atkinson's Mr. Bean's Holiday into more theatres after its breakout success last weekend, especially because Labor Day is a great time for movies geared towards families and kids. Being the only PG movie that parents can take their younger kids to see will help this do better over the four-day weekend than it did in its opening week, but it will be fighting for placement against Universal's other late summer smash The Bourne Ultimatum.
Lionsgate releases the Mexican heist flick Ladron Que Roba A Ladron into over 250 theatres on Friday, although it's not really getting any sort of promotional push, so it's likely to end up with less than a million over the four days. (See the limited releases section below for more info.) Lionsgate will also be sneak-previewing James Mangold's Western remake 3:10 to Yuma in a number of theatres on Sunday night at 7:30 PM.
Last Labor Day, Lionsgate (them again!) tried capitalizing on the success of Jason Statham's record-setting 2005 action movie by releasing the R-rated Crank, and it was able to make $13 million over the four-day holiday weekend. Warner Bros. had their own horror remake in The Wicker Man starring Nicholas Cage, and that wound up just short of Crank with $11.7 million. A late summer sleeper came in the form of Neil Burger's The Illusionist, starring Edward Norton, which the Yari Film Group expanded into 970 theatres over Labor Day weekend where it grossed $8. Anthony Mackie starred in the basketball drama Crossover (Screen Gems), but it opened outside the Top 10 with $4.2 million. The top 10 grossed $89 million, which again should be topped by this weekend's offerings, continuing this summer's trend.
Halloween (Dimension Films)
Starring Scout Taylor Compton, Tyler Mane, Malcolm McDowell, Sheri Moon Zombie, Brad Dourif, Danielle Harris, William Forsythe
Written and directed by Rob Zombie (The Devil's Rejects, House of 1,000 Corpses)
Genre: Horror, Thriller, Remake
Rated R
Tagline: "Evil Has a Destiny"
Plot Summary: 10-year-old Michael Myers is committed to a mental institution after killing his abusive stepfather and slutty sister on Halloween, but 15 years later, he's grown into a silent but deadly beast of a man (Tyler Mane), and he's decided to return to his hometown of Haddenfield in order to finish what he started by going after his baby sister Laurie (Scout Taylor-Compton). Trying to stop him with the authorities is his long time psychiatrist Dr. Samuel Loomis (Malcolm McDowell) who has tried and failed to cure him since he was a boy.
Why I Should See It: Some consider Rob Zombie a visionary director, especially when it comes to horror, and this is the first time we really see what makes Michael Myers tick.
Why Not: Didn't I already see this movie 28 years ago?
Projections: $21 to 24 million over the four-day weekend but less than $50 million total.
COMPARISONS
Balls of Fury (Rogue Pictures)
Starring Christopher Walken, Dan Fogler, George Lopez, Maggie Q, Robert Patrick, Thomas Lennon, Aisha Tyler
Directed by Robert Ben Garant (Reno 911!: Miami); Written by Ben Garant and Thomas Lennon (The Pacifier, Night at the Museum, Taxi, Let's Go To Prison, Herbie: Fully Loaded)
Genre: Comedy, Sports
Rated PG-13
Tagline: "A huge comedy with tiny balls."
Plot Summary: Ping pong champion Randy Daytona (Dan Fogler), who hadn't played in 19 years after an embarrassment at the 1988 Olympics, is coerced to return when an FBI Agent (George Lopez) hires him for a secret mission to infiltrate the lair of the nefarious Master Feng (Christopher Walken), the man responsible for killing Daytona's father.
Why I Should See It: Garant and Lennon have proven themselves to be strong comedic contenders with their previous comedies... but more importantly.. Maggie Q is in it!
Why Not: If I wanted to watch 90 minutes of ping pong, I'd go down to the basement and play with my Uncle Bo.
Projections: $4 to 6 million on Weds/Thurs, $11 to 13 million over the four-day weekend and roughly $30 million total.
COMPARISONS
Death Sentence (Fox Atomic)
Starring Kevin Bacon, Kelly Preston, Garrett Hedlun, John Goodman, Aisha Tyler, Jordan Garrett, Leigh Whannell, Matt O'Leary, Yorgo Constantine
Directed by James Wan (Saw, Dead Silence); Written by Ian Jeffers
Genre: Crime, Drama, Thriller
Rated R
Tagline: "Protect What's Yours"
Plot Summary: After watching the murder of his son by a gang of thieves, a mild-mannered family man (Kevin Bacon) decides to take matters in his own hand when the law doesn't provide justice, starting a deadly game of cat-and-mouse with the gang that killed his son.
Why I Should See It: It's been a long time since there's been a strong revenge thriller.
Why Not: This month we're already getting potentially two.
Projections: $6 to 7 million over the four-day weekend but less than $15 million total.
COMPARISONS
Next week, the Fall season officially kicks off with two testosterone-driven action flicks, one being James Mangold's Western remake 3:10 to Yuma, which pits Christian Bale against Russell Crowe, and the other being Michael Davis' no-holds-barred Shoot ‘Em Up, which has Clive Owen facing Paul Giamatti. The two of them will be facing off much like the characters in the movies, which leaves the comedy The Brothers Solomon to show a bit of brotherly love as Wills Forte and Arnett try to get women pregnant.
The Chosen One: The Nines (Newmarket)
Starring Ryan Reynolds, Melissa McCarthy, Hope Davis, Elle Fanning
Written and directed by John August (writer of Charlie's Angels, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Genre: Drama, Thriller
Rated R
Plot Summary: Ryan Reynolds, Melissa McCarthy, Hope Davis and Elle Fanning star in three interlinked stories, one about a troubled TV star (Reynolds) placed under house arrest, convinced that his publicist (McCarthy) and neighbor (Davis) are out to get him. The second involves a trio putting together a network television drama in the second segment, while in the third, a video game designer and his wife (Reynolds, McCarthy) experience car troubles in the woods that only their daughter (Fanning) seems to know anything about.
Tagline: "Y9u never kn9w when y9ur number is up"
Usually, I'd be going with the Johnnie To movie 'cause that would be a no-brainer for any Hong Kong fan, but oddly, after almost a year of trying to catch it, I was slightly unimpressed. (See my Mini-Review below.) Instead, we're going with something a bit more off the beaten track. It's been many months since I first saw John August's odd indie anthology film, and if I hadn't rewatched it recently, I honestly don't know if I could talk about it intelligently, because it's one of those movies that seems fairly straight-forward at first, but it slowly turns into a real mindf*ck of a movie as the three separate stories are brought together in an existential twist ending. Granted, this is not going to be everyone's cup of hot cocoa, but it is a movie that will entertain you firstly and make you think for a long time about what you just watched afterwards. The reason the movie works so well is that Ryan Reynolds is great in all three parts he plays, as is Melissa McCarthy, a personal friend of August's who gives three breakthrough performances, a comedic one as the publicist of a troubled star and a more dramatic one as the overweight actress friend of a TV writer/producer who learns that he's being forced to replace her on his new show. And then of course, there's Hope Davis who hits a home run no matter what she does, though she's really playing third fiddle to the other two a lot of the time. This is very much the kind of movie that only a screenwriter trying to do something different outside the Hollywood system could come up with, because the three segments are so different in tone and feel that you might think they were written and/or directed by different people. Maybe August can relate to the schizophrenic nature of Reynold's three characters, but it does show that he has a lot of interesting and original ideas beyond his studio fare. August's directorial debut opens in New York and L.A. on Friday.
Also in Limited Release:
The Monastery: Mr. Vig & The Nun (Koch Lorber Films) - Pernille Rose Grønkjær's documentary about an eccentric 82-year-old Danish man who wants to donate his ramshackled castle to the Russian Orthodox Church for a monastery, but winds up butting heads with the attractive young nun who shows up to help whip the place into shape. Although it sounds like the makings of a romantic comedy (pay attention Hollywood!), it actually is a documentary based on a true story, which opens at New York's Film Forum on Wednesday.
Exiled (Magnolia Pictures) - Johnnie To's 2006 crime drama follow-up to his Election blockbusters finally gets released in the States after months of delays. It reunites To with many of his previous cast including Anthony Wong and Francis Ng in a story about two hit men from Hong Kong sent to take out a renegade member trying to start a new life in the changing landscape of Macau. It opens Friday at the Angelika and Lincoln Plaza Cinemas in New York City.
Mini-Review (Coming Soon!)
Freshman Orientation (Regency Releasing) - Ryan Shiraki's comedy about an 18-year-old freshman from the Midwest ("Superman Returns'" Jimmy Olsen, Sam Huntington) who decides to get into the life of the girl of his dreams (Kaitlin Doubleday) by pretending to be gay, landing in the middle of a campus-wide controversy. This long-delayed movie which also stars Heather Matarazzo and John Goodman opens in L.A. at the Regent Showcase Theatre on Friday and in New York next month.
Ladron Que Roba A Ladron (Lionsgate) - Ocean's 13 and The Italian Job haven't cornered the market on heist movies, as we see in this Mexican crime-comedy by Joe Menendez about two crack thieves who reunite to rob a TV informercial tycoon, going undercover as day laborers with a team of actual day laborers to pull the seemingly impossible job. It opens in 250 theatres this weekend, presumably targeting the same theatres that played Illegal Tender last week.
Self-Medicated (THINKFilm) - 24-year-old Monty Lapica wrote, directed and stars in this drama about his own troubles with alcohol and drugs as a teenager growing up in Las Vegas that ultimately had his mother having him kidnapped and locked-up in Utah's Brightway Adolescent Hospital. The winner of many film festival awards, it opens in select cities on Friday
Mini-Review: When you look at how many awards this movie has won at fringe film festivals like the "Cosmos International Film Festival" or the "Lake Arrowhead Film Festival" or dozens of others, you might be optimistic that Monty Lapica's autobiographical vanity film might be okay. After watching it, you might start to wonder how bad the other movies must have been at those festivals. Granted, this is a young filmmaker telling a story from his own past, but casting himself in the role of himself 7 years prior might be the first mistake—Lapica could have learned from Kevin Spacey on that one, because he doesn't look 17--in what ends up being a depressingly bad movie that falls somewhere between an MTV realidrama and "The O.C." only set in Las Vegas. Lapica is not a very good actor and only barely competent as a director, as he has created a film full of overly-melodramatic performances. It does get slightly better once "Andrew" escapes from Brightway, but even if this story were 100% true, it's exceedingly hard to believe. If Brightway's main contribution to Lapica's life was to convince him to take up filmmaking, they deserved to be shut down by the government. Rating: 3/10
Comments (11)
I read this column every week and would like to see the return of full write-ups for new movies. I especially enjoyed the analysis and why you should or should not watch the movie sections.
Posted by rushhour3
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August 28, 2007 10:36 AM
Also I sent this email to warrior@comingsoon.net on April 24th but never got a reply.
Mr. Douglas,
I have been reading your blog The Weekend Warrior every week for over a year now and I thought it was about time to write some feedback. Your analysis and battle cry are always entertaining and detailed. I especially like your ending statements of why you should and shouldn't watch the movie. I thoroughly enjoy the fact that well reading I get the feeling that you love movies as much as I do and are not shy about stating which ones are your favorites. The inclusion of all the limited release films is also a big plus because even though most of them don't come to theaters near me (I live in Vermont) I always make sure to catch them on DVD. This is going to be a very exciting summer and like everyone else I have been patiently waiting (I've only seen Grindhouse in the last 8 weeks) for it to kick off with Spiderman 3, not to mention my two all time favorite movies are becoming trilogies Rush Hour 3 and The Bourne Ultimatum. Now I'm just hoping that the one limited release I've been looking forward to Waitress comes here. Well, I just wanted to say thank you and I look forward to next weeks blog.
Sincerely,
Bill Sutton
Posted by rushhour3
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August 28, 2007 10:49 AM
I also read this blog every week, in fact I look forward to it. Please don't make any changes to it.
Also, as for the trivia question above. Balls of Fury and Death Sentence have two things in common? I know one. They both star Aisha Tyler.
Posted by QueenEdys
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August 28, 2007 11:19 AM
Im looking forward this blog and I still like it. But please dont remove the "Why I Should See It and Why not" Its the part with some humor
Posted by dirtier
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August 28, 2007 12:08 PM
Hey Ed,
I've been reading the Weekend Warrior for several years now. I've usually liked changes that were made, but moving to the blog format is not one of them.
I know that whenever something that we become accustomed to changes without warning our initial reation is to reject it, but this format never grew on me and the Weekend Warrior kind of fell off my "to do" list for Tuesdays.
Probably the biggest thing I dislike is how different aspects of the post or blog or whatever are split up. I've got to click on several different links to read more about something. I would imagine a good deal of us browse at work and the less web traffic we generate on non-work-related stuff, the better. Plus, I think the format is just sloppier. I liked it when each week's information was gathered up in one neatly archived post.
I understand the point of the switch, to make the Weekend Warrior more than just a once a week megapost and more of a continuous entity, but it never really worked for me in this format.
But yeah, definitely don't remove the Why I Should See It and Why Not. The only thing I like as much as seeing good movies is making fun of bad ones. I miss the Battle Cry...
Posted by Jimmy
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August 28, 2007 12:44 PM
I read the Weekend Warrior for boxoffice predictions so i think the way it is now is better. There are reviews on the site that tell me if i should go see a movie or not.
Posted by CatLoaf
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August 28, 2007 4:42 PM
Greetings from Spain.
I found The Weekend Warrior a few weeks before it converted to a blog, and I definitely think that the older format was much better than the current one for this particular column. Still that didn’t stop me from reading it avidly every week, because what I mainly cared was the contents.
But this last change I think is a killer. The highlights of The Weekend Warrior to me are the thorough examination of the movie. Reviews, you can find them everywhere, anywhere. But to me what it really makes it worth it and stand out for is the thorough and extended analysis of the movie, the comparisons, and most definitely the Why / Why not should I see it, all of that sprinkled with wit and humor.
The striped-down version is just not enough for me. It takes away most of the things I loved about the Weekend Warrior.
If it needs to have more comments, hey, I promise I will do my share and give every week.
But please don’t strip down this great great column. If you need to change formats, fine, but don't take away from us the best and most fun movie analysis there is out there.
Posted by Mamac
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August 29, 2007 3:09 AM
Okay, thanks for the comments everyone. Will definitely see what I can do though I know that at least the first few weeks in September will have to remain a bit lighter just because I'm covering the Toronto Film Festival and will have very little time to focus on other things. I'll definitely bring back the Why/Why Not things next week as people seem to enjoy them and they're easy enough to do.
QueenEdys: Yup, they both have Aisha Tyler, that's one... the other thing in common has to do with the directors.
Posted by EDouglas
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August 29, 2007 6:14 AM
BTW, I've added some quickly written "Why/Why Not" for this week's movies... I have no problem including those each week.
Posted by EDouglas
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August 29, 2007 7:08 AM
Since no one guessed the second thing that Balls of Fury and Death Sentence had in common...
they're both the second movies of the year by the two directors. Ben Garant had REno 911: Miami and James Wan had Dead Silence come out earlier this year, both available on DVD.
Posted by EDouglas
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August 31, 2007 10:30 AM
Sadly James Wan movie Dead Silence hit dvd to fast it was an ok movie just wasn't promoted enough.
Everything you write in the weekend warrior is great it has everything you needed to know about the director recent work and what that movie made and the little humor at the end is great keep up the good work.
BTW Prints of Halloween has the saw 4 teaser trailer attached to it
Posted by DJ
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September 1, 2007 10:07 AM